field.draw("scatter", seed="byalexprejean.com/investigate")

Index / investigate

Questions I'm trying to answer.

01Basketball

investigations["how-much-do-we-know-at-18"].summary()

What Recruiting Rank Predicts in the NBA

What final high-school recruiting rank predicts about reaching the NBA, and how little it predicts about player value after that.

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Evidence periodFinal RSCI classes, 2011–2018StatusPublished analysis

02Football

investigations["what-recruiting-rank-predicts-in-the-nfl"].summary()

What Recruiting Rank Predicts in the NFL

How final high-school recruiting rank predicts NFL entry, and how much of that signal remains after a player reaches the league.

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Evidence period247Sports Composite classes, 2011–2017StatusPublished analysis

03College football

investigations["the-end-of-home-turf"].summary()

The End of Home Turf?

An interactive analysis of how roster geography changed through transfers, elite-recruit mobility, regional pipelines, and different roster-building strategies.

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Evidence periodRoster geography, 2009–25StatusInteractive analysis

04Football

investigations["how-unusual-was-the-patriots-kicking-gap"].summary()

How Unusual Was the Patriots’ Kicking Gap?

New England out-kicked its opponents by 9.4 percentage points over 19 seasons. How much of that survives once you account for the kicks themselves and who was kicking them.

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Evidence periodNFL regular seasons, 2001–2019StatusPublished analysis

05Tennis

investigations["do-american-men-perform-better-at-the-us-open"].summary()

Do American Men Perform Better at the US Open?

American men’s Grand Slam results, adjusted for player ability, surface, and draw, with uncertainty and individual-player comparisons.

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Evidence periodMen’s Grand Slams, 2016–2025StatusExploratory analysis